Current:Home > InvestHow to make sense of the country's stunningly strong job market -TruePath Finance
How to make sense of the country's stunningly strong job market
View
Date:2025-04-18 11:40:35
The job market is defying all odds.
U.S. employers added 336,000 jobs in September, according to the Labor Department. That's about twice as many as forecasters were expecting.
The strong job growth is welcome news for anyone looking for work. But it could make the Federal Reserve's effort to bring down inflation harder.
Here are four things to know about the monthly employment snapshot.
The jobs engine is not slowing down
Instead of the slowdown that forecasters expected to see in the jobs numbers, hiring appears to be revving up. Not only did employers add an eye-popping number of jobs in September, but revised figures show that hiring was much stronger in July and August than had been reported.
Last month's job gains were broad-based with nearly every industry adding workers.
Restaurants and bars added 61,000 jobs in September and are finally back to where they were before the pandemic. Health care and education also added tens of thousands of workers last month. Even factories and construction companies continued to hire, despite the strain of rising interest rates.
The job market has implications for the Fed
The Federal Reserve is keeping a close eye on the job market as it tries to decide whether to raise interest rates even higher, in an effort to control inflation.
At its last meeting in September, policymakers appeared to be leaning toward one more rate hike this year in their quest to bring prices under control.
The strong September employment report could be a worry, but it may not be all bad from the Fed's perspective.
The main concern with hot labor market is that it could put upward pressure on wages, and threaten further inflation.
But despite the big job gains last month, wage growth remained modest. Average wages in September were up 4.2% from a year ago, and wages rose just 0.2% between August and September.
"Wage growth is cooling so this doesn't look like an inflationary job market," says Julia Coronado, president of MacroPolicy Perspectives. "It's kind of Goldilocks, actually."
The unemployment rate is still low
The unemployment rate held steady in September at 3.8%. While the jobless rate has inched up from earlier this year, it remains very low by historical standards.
The unemployment rate rose in August because hundreds of thousands of new people joined the workforce that month. That's a good sign because it suggests people are optimistic about their job prospects. And with more people working, the economy can grow without putting upward pressure on prices.
A cautionary note: the unemployment rate for African Americans rose last month from 5.3 to 5.7%. That could be a statistical fluke. The number has bounced up and down a lot in recent months. But it's something to keep an eye on.
Strike news won't show up until next month
This jobs tally was conducted in mid-September, just before the United Auto Workers strike began, so it doesn't reflect the 25,000 autoworkers who are on strike as of Friday morning, nor the several thousand additional workers who've been idled because of parts shortages tied to the strike.
The September snapshot was also taken before Hollywood writers ended their strike. Those changes could show up in the October jobs report.
veryGood! (3317)
Related
- Mets have visions of grandeur, and a dynasty, with Juan Soto as major catalyst
- Georgia school shooting suspect was troubled by a broken family, taunting at school, his father said
- Cowboys owner Jerry Jones explains why he made Dak Prescott highest-paid player in NFL
- Amy Adams 'freaked out' her dog co-stars in 'Nightbitch' by acting too odd
- The company planning a successor to Concorde makes its first supersonic test
- 2 young sisters apparently drowned in a Long Island pond, police say
- As US colleges raise the stakes for protests, activists are weighing new strategies
- East Timor looks to the pope’s visit as a reward after 20 years of fragile stability
- Intel's stock did something it hasn't done since 2022
- Run to Vineyard Vines for an Extra 30% off Their Sale—Shop Flowy Dresses, Nautical Tops & More Luxe Deals
Ranking
- In ‘Nickel Boys,’ striving for a new way to see
- YouTuber Nikocado Avocado Debuts 250-Lb. Weight Loss Transformation
- Chiefs' thrilling win over Ravens is most-watched season opener in NFL history
- Mother’s warning to Georgia school about suspect raises questions about moments before shooting
- Sonya Massey's father decries possible release of former deputy charged with her death
- Cowboys owner Jerry Jones explains why he made Dak Prescott highest-paid player in NFL
- Caitlin Clark on Angel Reese's season-ending wrist injury: 'It's definitely devastating'
- Caitlin Clark returns to action Sunday: How to watch Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream
Recommendation
Retirement planning: 3 crucial moves everyone should make before 2025
US higher education advocates welcome federal support for Hispanic-serving institutions
15-year-old boy fatally shot by fellow student in Maryland high school bathroom
A mural honoring scientists hung in Pfizer’s NYC lobby for 60 years. Now it’s up for grabs
Can Bill Belichick turn North Carolina into a winner? At 72, he's chasing one last high
Megan Thee Stallion’s Hot Girl Fashion Evolution Makes Us Wanna Hiss
Which NFL teams have new head coaches? Meet the 8 coaches making debuts in 2024.
MLB trade deadline revisited: Dodgers pulled off heist to get new bullpen ace